The Future of Solar Energy

Of course, lower costs don’t mean much if the cells can’t compete with the efficiency of traditional silicon cells. But in the lab, at least, scientists have succeeded in producing perovskite solar cells with efficiency levels comparable to those of commercially used silicon cells — upwards of 20 percent.

Perovskite solar cells are in no way ready for commercial use yet — Padture predicts that point is still at least 5 to 10 years away — but the early promise has led researchers to explore a number of different applications for the cells. On the one hand, if their costs and efficiency levels become competitive enough, they could be used alone in solar arrays in the same way that silicon solar cells are widely used today. However, some researchers believe the real future of solar energy lies in a new experimental technique that layers perovskite solar cells on top of silicon cells in order to maximize their total efficiency.

The reason this technique seems promising is because silicon cells capture sunlight at slightly different wavelengths than perovskite materials, said McGehee, the Stanford researcher. So if you put them together, they’re able to take advantage of a bigger segment of the spectrum than either would alone.

From a business perspective, this strategy makes sense as well, McGehee added. “I think this is one of the more compelling [pathways] because it’s not going head to head with silicon, it’s partnering with silicon,” he said.

There are so many companies and so much money and research invested in silicon solar cells already that it might be hard for perovskite solar cells to break into the market alone, even if they become truly competitive, he noted. The tandem cells are a way to boost the efficiency of solar panels and help grow the solar industry in a way that benefits everyone and minimizes competition between the different types of materials.

“If silicon gets better over the next 5 to 10 years, that’s not a problem for us — if silicon gets cheaper, that means our tandems will be cheaper, and if silicon gets more efficient, that’s great — it means our tandems will be more efficient,” McGehee said. “It’s a strategic business view. I think perovskites have a better chance of success partnered with silicon in a tandem than going alone.”

But there are other promising applications as well, Padture pointed out. Unlike silicon cells, perovskite solar cells can be transparent or even made into different colors. This means they can be placed in spots that wouldn’t be appropriate for opaque silicon panels, such as windows.

So when you consider these types of applications, perovskite cells “don’t need to compete with silicon,” Padture said. “They have a niche — something unique.”

Room for improvement

Perovskites still have a long way to go before they’ll be fit for the market. For one thing, the competitive efficiency levels that have been produced in the lab wouldn’t necessarily stand up under practical conditions. That’s because most perovskite solar cells that have been produced in the lab are very small, Padture noted — less than a centimeter square. In contrast, many commercially used solar panels are a foot square or even larger.

Unfortunately, there are some challenges to producing larger perovskite solar cells with competitive efficiency levels, according to Padture. Perovskite cells are typically made by combining different chemical solutions to produce a very thin layer, called “film” — the part of the solar cell that converts sunlight into electricity.

But while the low-temperature processes used in perovskite solar cells produce high-quality films in small quantities, “the quality of the films is not very reproducible over large areas,” Padture said. When researchers try to produce larger cells, the film often comes out with defects or holes.

However, there’s been clear progress in this area. Padture and colleagues recently published research describing how they’d been able to improve efficiency in larger solar cells by using different solvents or by dissolving a certain type of gas into the film, which helps to remove defects and can later be removed.

But there are other hurdles as well. Perovskite solar cells aren’t as physically stable as silicon solar cells. “When you expose these cells to humid air, they basically degrade in a couple of days or weeks,” Padture said. In addition, perovskite solar cells typically contain a form of lead that can leach into the environment — so in order for the cells to be viable, they need to be sealed inside a kind of polymer case that protects them from exposure to air and water.

This is a field that McGehee’s lab is currently working on — and while their most recent results are not yet published, McGehee noted that “we’ve made really really nice progress at Stanford in just the last couple of months.”

The future of the industry  

There are already a few companies investing in perovskite research, including Oxford PV, which was founded to commercialize technology produced by the University of Oxford. Just last week, co-founder Henry Snaith, a physics professor at Oxford, and a group of his colleagues published research in the journal Science describing a method of improving the efficiency of tandem cells involving perovskite solar cells.

Although Padture and McGehee both agree that the technology is at least five years away from commercialization, Padture said he hopes the federal government will invest more resources into its study, as research into the improvement of silicon solar cells is already well-covered by private companies.

“It doesn’t make sense for the government to invest in something like [silicon] because the companies have a motivation to reduce the cost and improve efficiency and improve durability and reliability because they’re already making money off them,” Padture said. “These still experimental [techniques] — this is where I think the government should be investing.”

In combination with other actions, such as improved systems for solar subsidies and the initiation of a carbon tax, research into emerging solar technologies can help continue to make the solar industry competitive — and, naturally, benefit the environment, according to Padture.

“I firmly believe that research into emerging materials, emerging technologies, is where the future is,” Padture said.

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